BUFFALO, N.Y. (WIVB) –– “The total repeal will require either getting 60 votes in the Senate or for the Senate Republicans to use the nuclear option and get rid of the filibuster,” said Jim Battista, University at Buffalo Associate Professor of Political Science.
Battista says a total repeal and replace of Obamacare is unlikely.
“Republicans in the Senate are probably going to be reluctant to totally eliminate the filibuster but they have to to get rid of Obamacare completely. If they don’t do that all they can use is reconciliation to touch the parts of it that raise and spend money,” said Battista.
Battista says that means subsidies, or federal assistance would be taken away as well as tax penalties, and the tax surcharge.
“Who will benefit, people whose health insurance isn’t going to change cause they already get it through their employers like most Americans do and they’re going to get a little more income in their pocket because the tax surcharge is going to go away,” said Battista.
But Battista says it’s a different story for people who went through the marketplace to sign up for healthcare.
“People who are below median income but not actually poor. People who were taking part in the medicaid expansion in the states that had it, those people are going to lose health insurance,” said Battista.
He says there would no longer be an obligation to buy health insurance, but says getting rid of financial assistance from the federal government for people who need will come with consequences.
“Fewer people are going to buy them because they’re going to become more expensive,” said Battista.