…WIND ADVISORY for northern Erie, Niagara, Orleans, Genesee counties from 2:00 pm until 8:00 pm Tuesday…
…an unusually high Enhanced Risk of Severe Thunderstorms along with a limited tornado risk for areas well south and east of Buffalo…
…elsewhere, there is a slight risk of isolated severe thunderstorms…
We have a tricky weather day ahead of us. A strong cold front heads our way with showers and thunderstorms developing for Tuesday afternoon. The first initial round of storms may dissipate as it moves into the Niagara Frontier early this afternoon due to a gusty southwest wind off the eastern end of Lake Erie. If the storms weaken, they will quickly regenerate just south and east of Buffalo where the greatest severe weather threat exists today. Heavy downpours, and potentially strong damaging wind gusts may accompany some of these storms and an isolated tornado can’t be ruled out in long-lived thunderstorms. The Storm Prediction Center has highlighted all of our region for a slight risk of severe thunderstorms and an unusually high enhanced risk for southern Cattaraugus, all of Allegany, McKean, and Potter counties. Another round of weaker showers and thundershowers could refire early this evening even across the Niagara Frontier before tapering off by later evening. It will become partly cloudy and quieter overnight.
Wednesday, it will be noticeably cooler with a mostly to partly sunny sky, though a few isolated afternoon showers can’t be ruled out. Partial sun Thursday may also be accompanied by a few spotty showers. The weather turns drier, and brighter for the end of the week and also into the upcoming weekend, but cool temperatures will be firmly entrenched across the region.
TUESDAY: Very Humid, Becoming Windy, Some Morning Sun, Thunderstorms develop in the Afternoon, some may be strong to severe with damaging wind gusts and torrential downpours. there will be a greater chance of intense storms south and east of Buffalo, High: 81, Wind: SW 15-30 G45-50
TUESDAY NIGHT; Showers/Thunderstorms taper off by late evening, then becoming Partly Cloudy, a diminishing wind, Low: 53-59, Wind: W 10-20 G35 diminishing to
WEDNESDAY: Mostly to Partly Sunny, Noticeably Cooler, Chance of a few Isolated Showers during the afternoon, High: 70-75, Wind: W 10-20 some stronger gusts, Low: 56
THURSDAY: Partial Sun, Spotty Showers especially during the afternoon, High: 69, Low: 53
FRIDAY: Partly Sunny. High: 70, Low: 53
SATURDAY: Sunshine, High: 72, Low: 55
SUNDAY: Little Change, High: 73, Low: 55
MONDAY: Sunny, High: 72, Low: 60