STILL Not Much to Hang a Hat On for the Winter

The Climate Prediction Ctr has updated its Winter Outlook and its Monthly (December) Outlook today. If you were looking to the CPC–or me–or anyone else to reduce the uncertainty about a winter outlook, you’ll be disappointed. CPC is maintaining its EC/Equal Chances status for much of the east. They’re reasoning is partially tied to the lack of predictability of the phase of the AO/Arctic Oscillation or the NAO/North Atlantic Oscillation beyond a couple of weeks. The MJO/Madden-Julian Oscillation is briefly mentioned but, not much was said about its current active phase due to that lack of predictability. On the matter…