El Nino is Still Strengthening: What that MAY mean for our Winter

Tropical Pacific water temperatures in the east central Pacific continue to indicate Strong El Nino conditions. The vast majority of the models which forecast the future strength of El Nino have its strength or amplitude peaking during the autumn and then slowly weakening during the winter, especially late winter. Even so, those models project El Nino to remain Strong into the winter…just not quite as Strong as forecast for mid and late autumn. No 2 El Ninos behave identically. The last truly Strong El Nino was historically strong, in 1997-98. In most–not without exception–Strong El Ninos tend to favor warmer…

Some Summer Mugginess drops back midweek and likely returns this Weekend followed by some cooling next week

A cold front preceded by some showers and tstorms Tuesday night will usher in a more comfortable airmass Wednesday. (Some of those tstorms m…